Today it is the shortest day in Tasmania and being the height of Winter it is very cold outside. It is almost halfway through the Year and so much has happened over the past six months. We have a coalition government in place and surprisingly it has lasted this long. Now attention is on the Federal sphere with an election due as early as August yet will probably be held in Octber or November. There has been considerable press speculation as to a possible drubbing of the Rudd government. I don't know if this will eventuate. Rudd initially impressed me but he has made serious errors in judgement, yet not enough really to be replaced by another leader such as Ms. Gillard.
I am not impressed either by Tony Abbott as alternative Prime Minister.
I can't see a potential replacement in the wings. I was somewhat surprised that the former Opposition Leader, Malcolm Turnbull, reversed his decision to quit Federal Parliament but do not see him returning to his former position.
I also do not see the minor parties increasing their clout in the Senate following the election whenever it is held. The only exception to this could be the Greens but it does depend which state they come from.
Robin June 21st 2010 0440z.
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